1) TDK announced and introduced last year at the CES 2006 a 100GB quad layer BD.
2) TDK announced this year at CES 2007 a six layer BD at 200GB.
3) These will reach market, but not for a long time.
4) Those worried about scratches: All bluray discs are have a protective composite 0.1mm coating on the surface, making them 100 times more durable/scratch-resistant than normal DVDs. Read some FAQs about the various formulas companies are using on blurays: Durabis on TDK discs, Accucore/Scratch Guard on Sony discs, etc.
5) HDDVD has a specification of 3 layers, maximum. Bluray has a specification of 8 layers, maximum. This was always planned and if you have been following the industry, this is no surprise.
6) As far as porn goes, Vivid is still supporting Bluray, and the vicechair of the Bluray Association specifically commented about this and said that adult content is not being refused. There's a story floating about that Sony said "no" to porn, this is false.
7) Blurays have caught up to HDDVD sales. At DVDempire, Blurays are soundly outselling HDDVD movies.
8) HDDVD has one exclusive studio, Universal (the rumor in the industry is they will announce support for Bluray this year). In addition to the other supporting studios, it adds up to about half of Hollywood supporting HDDVD.
9) Bluray has Fox, Lions Gate, MGM, BuenaVista, Touchstone, Sony Pictures, Disney as exclusives. In addition to other neutral studios, like Warner and New Line, that adds up to 90% of Hollywood. Spiderman 3? Pirates of the Carribean? You'll need a bluray player. Those and tons of others aren't coming to HDDVD.
10) Cannot exclude the PS3 effect. 1.5 million of them out in the wild, and 1.1 million sold in, as in, in the homes now. The more PS3 that are sold, the more blurays will be sold.
“We are looking forward to this pivotal year and the ultimate establishment of Blu-ray as the high-definition packaged media standard. In fact, Blu-ray sales performance surpassed HD-DVD for the first time the week of December 24 and did so by an impressive 20 per cent. What’s more, by the end of the first quarter our research shows the sales gap widening to Blu-ray outselling HD DVD by a 3.5-to-1 ratio,” noted Mike Dunn, President Worldwide, Twentieth Century Fox Home Entertainment. “We remain extremely encouraged by the growth in sales and player penetration and are fully committed to creating the most compelling products possible and to the continued pioneering development of BD with our partners.”
HDDVD is on really thin ice (dying). The studios are throwing their weight behind Bluray, especially in 2007.
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