I'm tired of listening to all these analysts. Everytime they say something, they do so as it's the last word and written on stone.
Before the Wii came out the majority of analysts didn't even consider the Wii in their forecasts. They said the PS3 would take the market by storm, which was a view that many people (and now hardly anyone) held.
The reality is that now they've seen what a phenomenon the Wii has become and are recalculating their predictions according to the Wii performance so far.
The Wii's sales could not be accurately estimated easily because it's such a different product to the other consoles, and there really is very little in the way of precedents to launch an authoritative estimate of future Wii sales. Even now, sales are still constrained by limited supply, so what do these analysts really know about the real demand for the console.
They continue to speak authoritatively as if their calculations are even slightly worthy of attention. Worst still, they question the longetivity of the interest of casual gamers on the Wii and the console's lifespan. For god's sake, what do they know! I don't know, Microsoft and Sony don't know. Nintendo's Wii has been an extraordinary turn of the videogames industry and I believe it's incredibly hard to make any predictions because there is nothing much to base them on.
If anything, they should recognise that they got it wrong before and they should emphasise caution when making further estimates.
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