
Cowen & Company analyst Doug Creutz was less optimistic, forecasting that Wii U games generated roughly $50 million in retail software sales, which would be slightly above first month sales for the original Wii.
Elsewhere, analysts expect November software sales to be led by new releases including Black Ops 2, Halo 4 and Assassin's Creed 3.
Pachter forecast 8.5 million Black Ops 2 sales, "slightly below" last November's Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 3, while Creutz expects the game to have shifted 7.9 million, down 11 per cent year-on-year.
However, Creutz points out that Modern Warfare 3 was on sale for an extra week during last November's NPD reporting period. "Call of Duty sales will not be comparable on an apples/apples basis," he said. "We think that getting a real read on the y/y performance of CoD will not be possible until December NPD data comes out.
Creutz also predicted Halo 4 sales of 2.9 million units, Assassin's Creed 3 sales of 2.6 million, and Need for Speed: Most Wanted sales of 469,000 units.
Wedbush / EEDAR November hardware sales estimates (change year-on-year):
- 360 - 1,400,000 (-17%) / 1,350,000 (-20%)
- PS3 - 700,000 (-22%) / 850,000 (-5%)
- Wii U 450,000 (n/a) / 450,000 (n/a)
- 3DS - 440,000 (-45%) / 800,000 (0%)
- Wii - 435,000 (-50%) / 170,000 (-80%)
- DS - 375,000 (7%) / 260,000 (-26%)
- Vita 190,000 (n/a) / 190,000 (n/a)
- PSP - 9,500 (-96%) / 8,000 (-92%)
- PS2 - 500 (-98%) / (n/a)
- Total - 4,000,000 (-18%) / 4,088,000 (-16%)
http://www.computerandvideogames.com...-85m-analysts/